Healthy Watersheds: Developing a Watershed Vulnerability Index
Because watershed health is a dynamic property that can vary with future changes in climate and human activity, an assessment also evaluates the vulnerability of watershed health to future degradation. Generally, sets of indicators are selected to measure and compile sub-indices of vulnerability that are most relevant to the watersheds being assessed. Then, a single vulnerability index is developed by aggregating these sub-indices, which may characterize potential risks such as future climate, land use, water use change and wildfire risk. Climate change is used as one example on this web page.
Sub-index themes most relevant to current or future healthy watershed risks may vary from place to place. Watershed condition changes over time due to natural processes and anthropogenic influences. The most pervasive impacts on watershed condition are expected to come from population increase (changes in land and water use) and climate change. Watershed vulnerability is based on a combination of watershed exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity to cope with changes. Whereas projected climate change, for example, may provide information on relative exposure to stress for watersheds across a state, the sensitivity of those watersheds to such changes is generally unknown. However, many efforts around the nation are underway to model the expected hydrologic response of the greater landscape to future changes in climate (e.g., changes in baseflow, surface runoff, and snowpack). Finally, the adaptive capacity of a watershed to cope with such changes is enhanced by connectivity of habitats and maintenance of floodplain, wetland and other landscape features in their natural conditions to support natural hydrology and sediment supply.
- Reduced dissolved oxygen levels in streams and lakes
- Loss of habitat for cold and cool water fish species
- Loss of wetlands and reduced riparian/floodplain connectivity
- Loss of upstream/downstream connectivity due to drying of stream and river reaches
- Reduced extent, diversity and quality of instream habitat for aquatic biota
- Increased pollutant concentrations from urban and agricultural runoff
- Maintenance of baseflow during periods of drought
- Flood mitigation as a result of:
- Natural stormwater infiltration
- Floodplain connectivity
- Natural surface- and groundwater hydraulic storage
- Air and water temperature regulation associated with:
- Native forested and riparian vegetative shading
- Evapotranspiration
- Riparian and stream habitat corridors for species migration to more suitable environments
- Carbon sequestration in native flora and soils
The large-scale systems approach to watershed health assessment and protection promoted by the EPA Healthy Watersheds Program can be a key element of a climate change adaptation strategy. Protecting the adaptive features of healthy watersheds, such as meander belts, riparian wetlands, floodplains, terraces, sediment transfer areas, water storage and nutrient cycling capabilities, natural hydrologic regimes and riparian corridors will help maintain system resiliency to climate change. Collaboration across agencies, organizations and jurisdictional boundaries is an important element of both implementing healthy watershed protection strategies and climate adaptation plans.
The Wisconsin Integrated Assessment of Watershed Health provides an example of how climate change can be factored into statewide watershed health assessment and protection. In addition to characterizing present-day landscape, habitat, geomorphology, hydrology, water quality and biological condition, the assessment also used projections of climate-driven changes in runoff and water quality to characterize vulnerability of aquatic ecosystems to future climate change. The Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources is using watershed health and vulnerability data to explore watersheds that are presently healthy but vulnerable to future degradation in order to prioritize its watershed protection efforts.
Example State Climate Change Adaptation Plans
Below are examples of state climate change adaptation plans that recognize protection of healthy watersheds as an integral component of adaptation planning.
- Oregon Climate Adaptation Framework (PDF) (151 pp, 567 K) Exit
- New Hampshire Climate Action Plan Exit
- California Climate Adaptation Strategy Exit
- Pennsylvania Climate Adaptation Planning Exit
- Wisconsin’s Changing Climate: Impacts and Adaptation Exit
- Preparing for a Changing Climate – Washington State’s Integrated Climate Response Strategy Exit
- Toward a Resilient Watershed - Addressing Climate Change Planning in Watershed Assessments (Oregon) (151 pp, 1.7 MB) Exit
Other Useful Links
- Climate Change (EPA)
- Climate Change and Water (EPA)
- Scanning the Conservation Horizon Exit
- Climate Wizard Exit
- Incorporating Climate Change Adaptation into State Wildlife Action Plans (50 pp, 4.5 MB) Exit
- U.S. Forest Service Climate-Aquatics Blog Exit
- US Global Change Research Group Exit
- US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP): Impacts of Climate Change on Biodiversity, Ecosystems and Ecosystem Services (PDF) (296 pp, 5.6 MB) Exit
- Aquatic Ecosystems and Climate Change (PDF) (56 pp, 363 K) Exit