The EPA uses the Atmospheric and Health Effects Framework Model (AHEF) to estimate ultraviolet (UV) induced health effects that may result from stratospheric ozone depletion.
The AHEF combines satellite ozone measurements with projected emissions of ozone depleting substances (ODS) to estimate future ozone concentrations and associated changes in UV and health effects (i.e., melanoma and non-melanoma incidence and mortality and cataract incidence). The AHEF is used to estimate the change in health effects resulting from various ODS policy scenarios, to perform sensitivity analyses, and to compare and evaluate results generated by similar models. AHEF is used to examine the public health impacts as well as atmospheric impacts of aviation, methyl bromide use, National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), and halon decommissioning strategies.
You will need Adobe Reader to view some of the files on this page. See EPA’s About PDF page to learn more.- AHEF 2015 Model Report 608.pdf (PDF)(38 pp, 1 MB)